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France-Russia Automotive |
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N° 12 December 2011 |
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Price : 10 € TTC |
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France-Russia Automotive (Auto Franco-Russe) is an economic newsletter focusing on the development of the Western automotive groups’ business in Russia. France-Russia Automotive is distributed both on paper and electronically. To receive the next issues for a free trial you only need to subscribe on our website: www.autofrancorusse.fr. France-Russia Automotive is published by Agence du Fil SARL Company, whose publications are devoted to the Franco-Russian trade. |
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In this issue |
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The Russian car market is regaining its strength. It
was to reach a total of almost 2.6 million passenger vehicles and LCVs
in 2011. However, it still has to catch up with its pre-crisis level.
This is expected in 2012. |
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The Editor |
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EVENT | ||||||
START OF PRODUCTION OF DACIA UNDER THE AVTOVAZ BRAND |
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A model developed by Renault for Dacia, will also be assembled at the premises of its partner Avtovaz. Several other models should follow, under the brands of Renault, Nissan or Avtovaz, on a fully renovated assembly line. |
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Renault-Avtovaz is about to start production of a
model by the French manufacturer at the Russian partner’s factory in
Togliatti. This is the Dacia Logan MCV, originally developed for the
Renault factory in Romania. In Russia the Logan MCV will be sold under a
local name: Lada Largus. It is the first Renault model to be assembled
at the Avtovaz factory which was previously limited to the production of
locally designed vehicles. The model transfer is part of the agreement
between the French manufacturer and its Russian partner. The
contribution of Renault at the time of the recapitalisation of Avtovaz
by the Russian government was valued at 220 million Euros. |
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STRATEGIES | ||||||
MAZDA FORESEES AN ASSEMBLY JOINT VENTURE WITH SOLLERS |
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Mazda is discussing the creation of a joint venture (JV) with the Sollers group for the assembly of the manufacturer’s models in Russia. The project plans to use the Sollers assembly factory in Vladivostok, the Russian port on the Pacific. Mazda wants to develop an assembly capacity of 30,000 units per year. The manufacturer signed an assembly agreement with the Russian government in the summer of 2011. It is noted that the agreement was signed notwithstanding the rules in force, and which provide for a minimum capacity of 300,000 units per year to qualify for customs exemptions for the free entry of components intended for assembly. The manufacturer sold 31,930 cars in Russia in ten months of 2011. Opened in late 2009, the Sollers factory in Vladivostok moved into a disused workshop at a local shipyard. It assembled approximately 13,000 Korean SsangYong vehicles in 2010. And in 2011 it would start assembling the Toyota Land Cruiser, with a capacity of approximately 12,000 units per year. The company enjoys very favourable subsidised rates for the transport of vehicles assembled in Vladivostok to the rest of Russia. These rates are given in the context of economic development programmes for this economically failing region. Mazda intends to receive the same benefits. |
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CITROËN AND PEUGEOT COEXIST ON THE LCV MARKET |
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Citroen and Peugeot, competitors and partners, have taken the
same approach to the Russian LCV market. This market is currently estimated at
200,000 units and its potential is strong. As explained by François Poirier,
Managing Director for Peugeot Russia: "Today LCVs represent 7% of the overall
passenger and LCV sector. But the European average is 12% so the potential for
development is therefore very strong. We believe that the Russian market will
reach 8% to 10% in a few years' time". |
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VOLVO TRUCKS USES LEASING TO ATTRACT |
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Volvo Trucks has just launched a leasing programme
with Sberbank. This state-owned bank, heir to local savings banks, has
the greatest presence across the country. "The Russian market has
great potential especially regarding replacements", confirms Peter
Andersson, Managing Director of Volvo Trucks. "We are beginning by
offering operators the replacement of their Russian trucks with used
Volvo trucks. And then, their replacement with new Volvos". This
two-step approach is provided by a network of dealers, specific to the
brand. |
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SEVERAL NEW MODELS AT RENAULT AVTOFRAMOS IN MOSCOW |
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Renault is ready to start assembling the 4x4 Duster at its Avtoframos plant in Moscow. The start of production is scheduled for the month of December 2011. The manufacturer plans to assemble yet another 4x4, the Renault Koleos there from 2012. It is positioned on the upper segment contrary to the Duster which sits at entry level. Renault responds to strong market demand: the factory has just undergone an expansion that has allowed production to be doubled in 2010. It is now close to 160,000 units per year. The new capabilities have allowed Renault to begin assembly of the Fluence and Megane models on the site in 2011, in addition to the Logan and the Sandero. And after future developments related to the establishment of the assembly of 4x4 models and the large Latitude saloon, Avtoframos's capacity should reach 175,000 units with seven different models in 2012, according to its management. The factory assembled 98,778 units over nine months in 2011, an increase of 72% compared to the previous year. It now provides the majority of Renault sales in Russia, which amounted to 111,720 units for nine months of 2011, and 139,993 units for eleven months of 2011. |
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THE BANK SBERBANK SEEKS A PARTNER FOR DERWAYS |
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The state-owned bank Sberbank is looking for a
Western car manufacturer which could establish itself in the factory of
local manufacturer Derways. The assembly factory is located in the town
of Tcherkessk, in the autonomous micro-republic of
Karachayevo-Tcherkessya in the North Caucasus. The company was founded
in 2002 by Stanislav Derev, a local businessman who made his fortune
producing vodka. After his death, the company's capital was divided
between several members of his family. |
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NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN MAZ AND KAMAZ ARE STILL DIFFICULT |
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The proposed acquisition of MAZ, a manufacturer of trucks located in Belarus, by KAMAZ, its Russian competitor, has not exited the deadlock. Announced in 2008, it is still being negotiated. An audit carried out by Ernst & Young in autumn 2011, had estimated the value of the company at 800 million dollars. Instead of simplifying the result, this audit has led to strong opposition from both sides. The Russians, through their ambassador in Minsk, accuse the Belarusian State, sole shareholder of MAZ, of halting the talks in order to drive the price up well beyond the estimate. The Belarusians suspect the Russians of wanting to pay much less than the audited value. A situation that could have been settled through negotiations. But behind this dispute on the value of the factory a continuous political conflict has been emerging over the last decade, and in which the Russian government seeks to have control over parts of the economy of Belarus, which it still regards as its "little brother". As for the other party, it uses MAZ’s promise of sale as a comforter to ease the Russian position in the various additional negotiations, including regarding the prices of oil and gas. One might think that the negotiation can only be resolved by an agreement at the presidential level of both countries. MAZ assembled up to 20,000 units before the crisis, mainly trucks and some buses. The Russian market is its main client, absorbing nearly 65% of its production for HGVs. The Belarussian company had sold nearly 3,000 trucks in Russia in the first quarter of 2011, according to its statements. |
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MICHELIN CONQUERING THE HGV MARKET |
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Michelin is interested in the Russian HGV market,
estimated at 7.1 million tyres, 3.2 million of which are all-steel, by
the manufacturer in 2011. In 2012 it is expected to reach 7.8 million
tyres, 3.8 million of which will be all-steel, this being an increase of
15% on the all-steel segment against an increase of 10% on the market as
a whole. "We are uniquely positioned on the all-steel market. And we
intend to support growth in domestic transport volume which is expected
to reach 10% in 2011, this being the same level as in 2010,"
explains Thierry Chiche, Managing Director of Michelin Russia and CIS. |
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THE FRENCH GNFA TRAINS RUSSIAN AUTOMOTIVE TECHNICIANS |
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The French National Group for Automotive Training (Groupement
national pour la formation automobile français - GNFA) exhibited at the
last Interavto-Automechanica trade fair which brought together industry
professionals in Moscow in late summer 2011. And for good reason, the
GNFA has a subsidiary established in Russia as a joint venture with a
local operator. The Group provides training for all business services
related to the car: sales, trading, reception, warehousing etc. It
offers the training of expert technicians. "In Russia we attend
training schemes in agricultural and automotive mechanisation. The
trainees take up positions as workshop foremen", explains Patrice
Martin, Director of the GNFA’s International Department. Several
institutions are involved in its services, including the ZIL College,
the institution that trained the staff of the former car factory in
Moscow. But also institutions in Kaluga, St. Petersburg, Samara;
wherever there is demand for qualified automotive personnel. The
operator was listed by the Russian Ministry of Education. It is a good
calling card for visiting regional universities. The GNFA has a Pilot
Centre in Moscow from where training is provided according to the
programmes of its French centres. |
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LOHR VOSTOK ADAPTS TO EASTERN MARKETS |
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The car transportation market in Russia is a delight for specialised manufacturers. One of which is Lohr Vostok, the subsidiary of a French company, and which exhibited at the last Comtrans commercial vehicle trade fair in Moscow. This company provides car transporter trailers for the Russian market and that of neighbouring countries. "The characteristic of these markets is that their regulations allow the distribution of car transporters of 20 metres, a larger size than that permitted in Europe", it is explained to us at Lohr Vostok. Stamped "regional transport", these car transporters are required by national and regional carriers who perform deliveries of Western brand cars assembled in Russia, to the local dealers. As for the transportation of imported vehicles, for example in transit through Finland, car transporters of 18.75m must be used for distribution on the European road network. The car transporters intended for the Russian market are manufactured at a subsidiary of Lohr in Serbia. And, the French brand is having great success with nearly 2,000 units being sold every year in Russia. |
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MECAFILTER SEEKS PARTNERS |
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Addressing the Russian market is not easy for a medium-size supplier. Solaufil Mecafilter, a French company specialising in filters, was present at the Interavto-Automechanica trade fair in Moscow looking for new opportunities. "We have an agent in the Russian market, and we supply a local wholesaler. But that does not make for large volumes; some tens of thousands of parts and the volume is not increasing. It is very little relative to the market", is explained to us at MECAFILTER. Its market is now occupied mainly by Chinese suppliers, and by some German brands. "The fleet is important, but in the provinces the old Lada dominates. These are low-cost cars, and nobody contemplated spending five or six euros on a filter!" And then there is the difficulty of establishing contacts locally, even in the context of a specialised trade fair: "At the trade fair, it's not simple ... People pass by, they take catalogues, but no one speaks English. Making contact is not easy". |
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NORAUTO FAILS TO SETTLE IN |
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Norauto, a French rapid auto repair chain still cannot establish itself in Russia. This company had to set up its auto centres in the parking lots of Auchan hypermarkets. Both companies belong to the same family group Mulliez, and in France the Norauto centers are usually found in Auchan parking lots. But in Russia, the management of the local subsidiary of the hypermarkets has come to oppose it: "We need additional parking spaces. Sorry, we do not have 350m² to offer you". The Auchan hypermarkets display the greatest production per square metre of all large Russian retailers. And it is one of the best performances among the various Mulliez group companies. The voices of Auchan Russia leaders must carry considerable weight in the group's decisions. |
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A SURVEY FOR DUMPING ON THE LCV MARKET |
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The Ministry of Industry and Trade has just initiated an investigation following suspicions of dumping on the market for imported LCVs. Sollers, a local assembler, is responsible for the investigation. This company accuses the manufacturers "from Germany and Italy," according to information from local newspaper Commersant. Sollers was a Fiat partner, assembler and importer of Italian manufacturered LCVs up until spring 2011, therefore its management knows what it is talking about. Sollers broke the partnership with Fiat, prefering to supply Ford, with whom it has set up an LCV assembly in Russia. The local operators of the assembly fear a forced reduction of trade barriers following Russia's entry into the WTO. Including the LCV segment where customs duties, of 25% today, would proceed to 10%. The LCV market reached 121,000 units for nine months of 2011, according to the AEB. This segment is today dominated by local company GAZ which has assembled almost 65,000 locally designed utility vehicles under its brand Gazel. While Sollers settled for 17,600 units under the UAZ brand, also locally designed. |
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BUSINESS CLIMATE: CORRUPTION, MY DEAR |
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Russia moved up to 143rd place in the global
classification system, "2011 Corruption Perceptions Index".
Established by the NGO Transparency International, this index reflects
the perceived level of corruption as witnessed by business people and
analysts from the 182 countries involved. It takes accounts of
administrative and political corruption, in the public sector, during
procurement and so on. It also points the finger at the governments
which "do not protect their citizens from corruption, whether this
relates to the misappropriation of public funds, the payment of bribes,
or an opaque decision-making process." New Zealand tops the rankings
in 2011, as the least corrupt country in the world, followed by Finland
and Denmark. France remains in 25th place, just behind the United
States. Russia was in 71st place in 2002. Since then it has gradually
shifted to the rear of the rankings: to 146th place in 2009 and 154th
place in 2010. In 2011 it was tied with Uganda, Nigeria, Belarus and
Azerbaijan. The authors of the Index politely note that Russia receives
the worst score among the G20 countries. |
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http://www.transparence-france.org/ewb_pages/div/Indice_de_Perception_de_la_Corruption_2011.php http://bpi.transparency.org/ |
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RUSSIA SOON TO BE IN THE WTO | ||||||
Russia's accession to the World Trade Organisation is
now scheduled for 2012 and will have an impact on customs duties. It is
too early to give precise figures, but the duties on imported cars will
fall, by a minimum of a dozen points. This will not be without
consequences for on-site assembly projects. So far the Russian
government has been using pressure from customs to force manufacturers
to install production facilities on-site. But factories which are
already established will not move. However the latest assembly
agreements, which are too restrictive, could be reviewed. This is with
particular regard for the high rate of "localisation" of production,
because the customs duties on car components should also be revised
downwards. Moreover, the method of calculating the "localisation" will
change. Today it includes the price of components used during assembly.
With the adoption of international trade rules, it should extend to all
costs and expenses incurred by the manufacturer during production and
marketing. The manufacturers interested in the Russian market will have
new decisions to make. |
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MARKETS | ||||||
CONTINUED RECOVERY IN 2011 |
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The Russian market for passenger vehicles and LCV is
expected to reach 2.6 million units over the whole of 2011, according to
figures not yet finalised by the AEB (see below). This displays a
dramatic increase throughout the year, with an increase of 41% for the
eleven months of 2011 compared to the same period in 2010. This upward
trend was even stronger at the beginning of the year, with +77% in the
first quarter of 2011, but it had subsided to +26% in November. The
market seems to be regaining its pre-crisis health. |
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Learn more about the AEB | ||||||
The Automobile Manufacturers Committee of the
Association of European Businesses in Russia publishes the monthly
statistics for sales of cars and commercial vehicles, of all
manufacturers, Western and local, operating on Russian territory.
Without distinction, the statistics cover the sales of new vehicles
assembled on-site or imported. |
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TESTIMONIALS | ||||||
YOKOHAMA: «We rely on multibrand retailers» |
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Yokohama is about to start production in its new tyre factory in Lipetsk in the south of Russia. On the occasion of the last Interavto trade fair in August 2011, the tyre manufacturer had organised a series of events to publicise the forthcoming opening of its factory: a meeting for resellers, an auto racing circuit, an exhibition of photographs of the Fukushima disaster, a fundraiser in aid of the victims, etc. Junichi Okishima, President of Yokohama Russia LLC, thereby wanted to educate the partners and consumers at the start of local production. |
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France-Russia Automotive: When will you begin to
sell tyres produced in Russia? |
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CONTINENTAL: «We are pleased with the off-take partnership with Nizhnekamskshina» |
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The German Continental is working on plans for its future tyre factory in Kaluga. However, it already has production facilities in Russia: a line of tyres for trucks that it has set up at the local tyre manufacturer Nizhnekamskshina, in Tatarstan, where Continental is deducting part of the production. Explanations of Martin Zaloudek, Commercial Vehicle Sales Manager at Continental. |
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France-Russia Automotive: How is your partnership
for off-take manufacturing at Nizhnekamskshina developing? |
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IN BRIEF |
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Fiat Group Automobiles takes up direct sales
and maintenance of the fleet under its brand from the beginning of 2012.
Its partnership with the local company Sollers, terminated at the
initiative of the latter after five years of operations, will stop
altogether at that date. Developed in partnership with Sollers, the
brand network included 107 dealers in autumn 2011. |
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AGENDA |
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Russian Automotive Forum:
from 20 to 22 March 2012 at Moscow An international conference organised by the Adam Smith Institute. Interventions are planned from the main players from the local and international industry. You can meat the cream of the leaders in Russian automobile industry and their purchasing directors. www.adamsmithconferences.com |
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Automechanika St.Petersburg: from 12 to 14 April 2012 at St Petersburg Wholesalers, distributors, traders, industry professionals, producers from the following industries: spare parts and accessories, car repair shops, service stations, car manufacturing, car trade, garage equipment and tools. aam.lenexpo.ru |
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Tires & Rubber: from
16 to 19 April 2012, at the Expocenter Moscow Over 200 manufacturers will introduce their range of tyres for all types of vehicle, rubber parts for the automotive industry, raw materials and components for the tyre industry, as well as the parts for production, recapping, balancing etc. The organisers are expecting 7,000 trade visitors. www.rubber-expo.ru |
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Automotive Logistics Russia 2012: from 19 to 21 June 2012 at Moscow Carmakers, tier suppliers and logistics providers. www.automotivelogisticsrussia.com |
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MIMS - Automechanika: from 27 to
30 August 2012 at Moscow The MIMS powered by Automechanika is the largest exhibition in the field of after-sales service in Russia. In 2012, the 16th MIMS powered by Automechanika Moscow international exhibition will be held in Expocentre Krasnaya Presnya. mims.ru |
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The France-Russia Automotive is published by the Agence du Fil SARL Company. RCS Paris 487 788 051. | ||||||
La maquette de l'Auto Franco-Russe a été réalisée avec le concours de l'agence Vingt-Quatre Graphisme |
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