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France-Russia
Automotive |
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N° 3 |
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Price : 10 € TTC |
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Français
English
Russian |
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France-Russia Automotive (Auto
Franco-Russe) is an economic newsletter focusing on the development of
the Western automotive groups’ business in Russia. France-Russia
Automotive is distributed both on paper and electronically. To receive
the next issues for a free trial you only need to
subscribe on our website: www.autofrancorusse.fr.
France-Russia Automotive is published by
Agence
du Fil SARL Company,
whose publications are devoted to the Franco-Russian trade. |
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COLUMN |
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Lesson in humility |
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Have you heard of the Samand?
Me neither, I had never heard of it before I had the opportunity to
admire this saloon car and the other models of the Persian manufacturer
Iran Khodro during the MIMS show that was held at Moscow in early
September The first models have just arrived in Moscow after crossing
the Caspian sea.
I was also able to relax in the rear seat of a Hover, a luxurious
10-seater limousine from the Chinese manufacturer Great Wall Motor
Company, a distant but not embarrassing copy of limousines made in the
USA.
What really surprised me from the moment I first entered the MIMS show,
was the low presence of European manufacturers this year, especially the
French: no Peugeot, no Citroën, no Renault, not even Michelin. On the
other hand, emerging manufacturers were very evident: they had reserved
imposing stand sizes (especially when you know the price) and were
exhibiting an equally large number of models whilst offering
demonstrations aimed at attracting both customers and the press with a
true marketing approach.
When you know that Iran Khodro produced 455,000 vehicles during the
first 10 months of 2007, an increase of 10%, and that it plans to export
25% of its production by 2010, you gat an idea of the progress that they
have made since the distant past when one of the rare Chinese mini-cars
was exhibited in the show's car park and created great amusement when
the door joint fell off, and the noise of its door shutting being
reminiscent of an old Citroën.
The Koreans also made us smile during the early 70s. We don't need to be
reminded of the position their industry enjoys nowadays. Perhaps the
Chinese and Persians are preparing us for another lesson in humility.
Alain Bastid |
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NEWS |
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THE MOSCOW MIMS 2007: A
PARTIAL SUCCESS |
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'The progression of sales of
foreign cars, at 67% last year, represents an extraordinary performance
which we are unlikely to see in another country. We think that Russia
will be the world's biggest automobile market by 2012.' This is the
opinion of Henrik Nensen, chairman of Ford Russia and chairman of the
car manufacturers committee within the Association of European Business
in Russia. He was speaking at the MIMS-Interavto 2007 show at the end of
August in Moscow.
The show unites about 800 companies from 15 countries. Much smaller than
MIMS-Interavto 2006 and much less representative: apart from local car
and equipment manufacturers and a few international companies, it was
above all a show for the Chinese, Turks, Iranians and Indians. The
organisers explain that they wanted to promote a true international
dimension every two years in the same way as the world's other major car
shows. They have given us a date for next year and promised a show that
will be much bigger in 2008.
The companies were virtually absent from the show. 'I am the only French
company in this building compared to the large village where you can
find all the Italians, the Germans in another without mentioning the
Spanish...' regretted Alexandre Mizrahi, director of Klaxcar France,
agent for Klaxon. Only to add: 'I am at this show for the second time. I
have several small clients in Russia. The Russian market is complicated
and we don't get much help.' Alexandre Mizrahi, in common with many
French companies, hopes to find more support next year for MIMS 2008. |
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THE LIST
OF ASSEMBLERS WILL BE CLOSED |
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The Minister of Economy announced in mid-November
2007 that he will stop signing contracts providing fiscal advantages for
industrial assembly of foreign branded vehicles. Renault, Volkswagen,
General Motors, GM-Avtovaz, Nissan, Toyota, Ford, Suzuki, PSA, Hyundai,
and the Ukrainian assembler Bogdan plus local companies Gaz, Avtovaz,
Izhavto (SOK), ZMA and Severstal-Elabuga (these last two are part of the
Severstalavto group), have obtained the advantage of tax reductions
especially when importing parts required for assembling. Several
submissions have apparently been refused including the local company
Ouralskaya Avtomobilnaya. Surprise, China's Great Wall is not included
in the list of beneficiaries. After two years of unfruitful attempts and
despite support from Guerman Greff, Minister of Economy until September
2007, the anti-Chinese lobby amongst Russian industrialists and the
civil service have beaten the project. However, it is possible that the
Chinese company has not had its last word. Russian administrative
decisions often change over time. |
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RENAULT
AND AVTOVAZ ARE STILL DISCUSSING |
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Discussions between Renault and
Avtovaz are not being called off according to Michel Gornet, deputy
General Manager and Manufacturing and logistics Director at Renault, in
an interview with the Russian press in September 2007. In the meantime,
Renault aims to increase its production capacity on the existing
Avtoframos site at Moscow. Whilst speaking about models adapted to the
market, Michel Gornet spoke of the virtues of the Logan. Initially
designed to be made in Romania with a minimal automation rate and
components using simple technologies, this model is ideally suited to
Russian industrial conditions where labour remains cheap. The lack of
automation on assembly lines in Moscow means that Renault can offer its
vehicle at a very competitive price on the local market.
According to data unveiled in mid-December 2007 an
agreement has been found. Renault should acquire 25% of Avtovaz, to
produce at least one new low cost model. We will have more information
on this project in our next French-Russia automotive edition. |
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AUTOMOBILE UNIONS ARE TRYING TO BE HEARD |
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The Avtovaz factory at Togliatti
was hit by another strike on August 1st 2007 Nearly 2,000 bodywork and
mechanical assembly workshop workers stopped the assembly lines for 4
hours. This is not the first industrial action amongst this leader of
the local car manufacturing industry. However, the true causes of the
strikes are rarely known with any detail.
Carine Clément, a French sociologist working for the Institut de
l’Action Collective at Moscow has just published the results of a survey
conducted with striking and non-striking workers. According to about
twenty employees, the strike was due to pay which had fallen suddenly
this year and could be as much as 50% of its previous level.
To understand this, you should be aware that the Avtovaz factory uses
115,000 employees to produce 700,000 cars per year. This is about six
vehicles per employee per year. This is five to eight times less than in
international manufacturers' factories. This low productivity justifies
low salaries, in the range of 230 - 380 dollars (6,000 - 10,000 roubles)
for production workers. Consequently many workers prefer doubling their
working time and work two shifts to obtain a final salary in excess of
500 dollars per month.
According to the unions, salaries and social charges represent about
12.33% of a vehicle's production costs. Apparently no salary increase is
planned at present. This is because the Avtovaz ranges are losing ground
in the market to western competitors and there are regular troughs in
the demand. At the start of2007, vehicle stocks in the factory and at
distributors exceeded 100,000 units.
Rossoboronexport, the public arms sales company and main shareholder in
the factory for the last two years, is too involved in the workings of
the federal government to announce major job losses which would be
politically unpopular especially on the eve of local and presidential
elections. It is doubtlessly for this reason that Avtovaz's new owner is
limited to half measures. Initially, it was decided that employees could
no longer receive two salaries. This caused a sudden drop in revenues.
But it’s a good bet that the measures will not be limited to this.
Confronted by competitive pressure, Avtovaz will soon be obliged to
reduce its employee numbers possibly by re-adjusting the pay rates.
Currently, Avtovaz workers are eyeing western manufacturers present in
Russia. The Ford Motors factory in the St Petersburg region is often
mentioned: average pay is about 500 - 900 dollars, according to the
unions. This does not protect the manufacturer from industrial action: a
24-hour strike in February and the beginnings of a strike in November.
It appears that motor industry unions want to be heard. |
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EXPERIENCES |
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GAZ: “WE
ARE OPEN TO ALL PARTNERSHIPS!” |
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The group GAZ
originated from Nijni Novgorod and is busy launching production of a new
saloon car. Its trucks, buses and other commercial vehicles are still in
demand in the market. Explanations from Vladimir Torin, group
communications manager. |
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France-Russia Automotive: You have just bought the
Daimler–Chrysler factory to manufacture the Chrysler Sebring under the
name of Siber. What is your policy with suppliers for this project?
Vladimir Torin: We want to offer Russian consumers a Russian car even if
the model uses western technologies. Currently, Chrysler suppliers are
obviously working with us. We are seeking to replace them one by one but
without sacrificing quality. We think it is possible to relocate parts
manufacture. Even though, for the moment, its less expensive to import
them, without import taxes under the Decree 166 rules, than it is to
produce them in Russia.
In any case, we can not do everything ourselves. We have already planed
to build a factory at Nijni, in partnership with Magna. We are also
going to obtain an Italian engine from VM Motori (who already supplies
engines for LDV's Maxus van, owned by Gaz – Editor). We are looking for
hundreds of partners.
- What sorts of partnerships do you prefer?
- The most profitable! We are open to all proposals, all types of
partnerships including joint ventures. Just one condition: we must
participate in the project and not simply be purchasers.
- GAZ has occasionally suffered from not having appropriate engines.
How are you going to resolve this problem?
- We have developed an internal engines division and we should shortly
have a full range of diesel engines for all our vehicles which will be
manufactured in our Yaroslavl and Ulyanovsk factories. With the Austrian
company, AVL, we are going to install a new engine production line at
Yaroslavl.
- What are your international development plans?
- We can not attack the European market which is too restrictive in
terms of quality. However, we are ailing at Asia and Latin America.
Hungary, Bulgaria a,d Romania are also part of our traditional markets.
Our Gazel van has had a good reception on the Turkish market. 5,000
units have been exported to Turkey and we are shortly going to build a
local assembly plant there. We have also a project on the drawing board
to build an assembly plant in Romania with a local partner. |
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Who is GAZ? |
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The Nijni Novgorod motor plant,
which was built by the Ford Motor Group during the 30s, remains the
centre of the GAZ group, one of the leaders of the local automobile
sector. The group produced 273,000 vehicles in 2006: cars, commercial
vehicles, trucks and buses and specialised vehicles. Sales revenues were
4.05 billion dollars in 2006.
http://eng.gazgroup.ru/ |
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SIBUR –
RUSSKIE SHINI IS AIMING AT INTERNATIONAL MARKETS |
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Sibur – Russkie Shini, one of Russia's largest
tyre manufacturers, has just undergone a major reorganisation. It is now
a bit more independent from its parent company, Gazprom, and is aiming
to find new markets in Europe and Africa for its truck tyres and is
seeking partners for its car tyres. Interview with Aleksey Evteev, head
of the Sibur – Russkie Shini communication department. |
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France-Russia Automotive: What
is your view of the tyre market?
Aleksey Evteev: We expect all the overall tyre market to increase by 15%
in value and 7% in volume per year until 2010. The internal truck steel
tyre market is sufficiently large for us and our competitor, the
Nizhnekama factory.
In addition, we export tyres to central Europe. We are seeking to
conquer new markets and have opened satellites in Germany with others
planned for Holland, North Africa and the Near East. Michelin's Cormoran
range is our main competitor on these markets. But our range is almost
50% less expensive...
- What part of your business is in the manufacturer fitted sector?
- We are present in Avtovaz, Kamaz, UAZ, GAZ. And also supply the
Renault Logan, the Kia Spectra and the Ford Focus in GM Avtovaz. There
are discussions with Volkswagen. Manufacturers provide a minimal margin
but we prefer to maintain this business in order to create customer
loyalty.
- Sibur has just been restructured as a holding which is less
dependent on Gazprom than it was previously. What impact has this had on
how Sibur – Russkie Shini is organised?
- A strategic centre was created within the management with managers
from leading companies: TranMashHolding, Russkie Mashini, Russal, etc.
The role of this new service is to start new production that meets
European standards with a central focus on quality.
On the industrial front, most of the factory equipment has been renewed
mainly using Japanese suppliers. Sibur is currently closing its old
production lines in the C tyres segment and those for obsolete truck
models with a progressive conversion to 'all-steel'. This reorganisation
is partly financed by our own capital and partly by loans.
- How is the commercial department organised?
- Since the reorganisation, every factory has had a sales department
called 'Filiale Russkie Shini' located within the factory. Each
subsidiary is responsible for several regions. Each regional
distribution network must only have contact with its relevant sales
department and be supplied from its factory. Our aim is to avoid
factories competing with each other, subsidiaries competing with each
other and price dumping provoked by clients.
Major accounts worth over 20 million USD buy directly from us, including
the Ministry of Defence, Ministry of Emergencies and companies such as
Norilsky Nikel. Clients worth less than 20 million USD buy from the
factory sales subsidiaries and from a specific sales department for
Moscow. We manage our own logistics with a fleet of trucks.
- What is your payment policy?
- A new distributor must pay cash until payments reach 1 million Roubles,
about 40,000 USD. Once this threshold is reached, the distributor is
considered reliable and can obtain payment terms. The terms are variable
deepening on the degree of confidence that we have in the distributor.
It may be greater than six months for some. Our most reliable and loyal
clients can also get discounts of up to 15% and payment terms that are
even longer.
- What do you think of the sector lobbyists such as AEB?
- We participate in these structures because we have realised that we
and our competitors have 80% of common interests. Igor Karavaev, our
strategy and development Director is a member of Chamber of Commerce
sub-committee. We are also a member of the Association for European
Business. This organisation provides us with a means for lobbying but it
is also a good channel for communicating with European partners.
- How do you approach partnerships?
- We work with Matador - Continental and other partnerships are planned
including for the HGV range. We are regularly contacted by potential
partners. We can also envisage a minority partnership for HGV where we
will provide our manufacturing capacity and staff. This could involve
production in our factories by replacing our old production lines or
'green field ' projects. We can also envisage 50/50 partnerships for
truck tyres. Furthermore, we are not going to limit ourselves to just
one partner but will develop by niches: one factory, one partner... In
this respect, we are better off than our competitor Nizhnekamskshina
because their business is dependent on a single production site. |
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Who is Sibur – Russkie Shini? |
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Sibur – Russkie Shini is part of
the Sibur holding, a petrochemical specialist and Gazprom subsidiary. It
is one of the leading tyre manufacturers in Russia with its four
factories at Yaroslavl, Volgograd, Omsk (Omskshina) and Yekaterinburg (Uralshina).
The company claims to be the only manufacturer of 'all-steel' truck
tyres on the market. It also makes aircraft tyres, tractor tyres and
other tyres for specific markets.
Following a loss of 19.3 million dollars in 2005, Sibur – Russkie Shini
reported profits of 19.2 million dollars in 2006.
http://www.eng.sibrustyre.ru/main.shtml |
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IN PRACTICE |
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THE BEST
SALES OF FOREIGN BRANDS |
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Sales
of imported and locally assembled foreign makes of car were over one
million units during the first 8 months of 2007 according to the AEB.
Amongst the leading brands sold in Russia during the first 8 months of
2007, Chevrolet tops the list with114,964 units (including the models
manufactured by the joint venture with GM-Avtovaz). Ford is second with
105,858 cars. Toyota sold 99,503 units. Hyundai with 80,477. Nissan with
72,437 cars. Renault was sixth with 62,588 units sold
In terms of models, the Ford Focus is the leader with 59,521cars sold
during the first 8 months of 2007. Renault Logan achieved 42,418 units.
They are followed by the Chevrolet Lanos (37,316), Daewoo Nexia (31,467)
and Toyota Corolla (29,468). The Chevrolet Niva was sixth with 29,311
units sold.
Three of the models on this list are manufactured locally: Focus at the
Ford factory at Vsevolozhsk, Logan at the Renault Avtoframos factory at
Moscow, Chevrolet Niva in the GM-Avtovaz joint venture plant at
Togliatti. Two others are assembled in the CIS: Daewoo Nexia in
Uzbekistan, Chevrolet Lanos in Ukraine. |
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SECOND-HAND EUROPEAN CARS FETCH GOOD PRICES |
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Imports of new and second-hand
vehicles reached almost 832,000 units during the first 7 months of 2007
according to the Russian Customs statistics. About 86,000 of these came
from CIS member countries consisting mainly of the Chevrolet Lanos
assembled in Ukraine and Daewoo Nexia assembled in Uzbekistan.
Second-hand vehicles imported from Japan represent about a third of the
non CIS import market. The average age is three to five years and their
average price declared to Customs is about 12,000 dollars. The Hyundai
and other South Korean KIA represented almost 70,000 imported vehicles
during the first 7 months of 2007 with an average price of 10,000
dollars.
European origin vehicles are amongst the most expensive especially
German vehicles. For many drivers, it is more prestigious to drive a
second-hand vehicle from a major European manufacturer that to have a
new vehicle from further away. |
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THE MOSCOW CAR FLEET IS RENEWED BY FOREIGN BRANDS |
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The exponential growth in the
Moscow car fleet is mainly provided by foreign brands. This is the
conclusion of a report completed in August-September 2007 by the
Avtostat agency. According to the report, 280,000 out of 355,000 new
vehicles registered in the capital during 2006 were foreign brands,
equivalent to 79%. The trend is similar for the Moscow region but less
strong: 160,000 new car registrations with 65% of them being foreign
brands.
Statistics from the Interior Ministry highway police seem to confirm
this trend: from 900,000 foreign branded vehicles registered at the
start of 2004, the number has grown to over 1.67 million by mid-2007
with a reasonable forecast that this will reach 1.7 million by the end
of 2007.
The total number of vehicles of all types in the capital is 3.5 million.
The locally designed Lada is still the leader: nearly 1.1 million units.
There are still 500,000 obsolete locally designed vehicles which are no
longer manufactured, in most cases: GAZ, Moskvich, ZAZ…
About 25.1% of the cars registered in Moscow are less than three years
old and 21.8% of the fleet are between three and seven years old. Over
half the fleet is over seven years old. 36.9% are over ten years old;
these are mainly locally designed vehicles but include a few foreign
brands that arrived as second-hand imports, especially German makes. The
general trend is for the fleet to become younger: more and more drivers
in the capital are choosing a new vehicle rather than buying
second-hand.
Ford is the leading foreigner at Moscow with 139,769 cars registered by
mid-2007. They are followed by Toyota (139,184), Volkswagen (123,793),
Nissan (111,458), Mercedes (105,483) and Mitsubishi (105 007). Renault
is 12th in the capital with 58,710 units according to Avtostat.
Ford's first place is due to its excellent sales results with the Focus
assembled in its factory near St Petersburg: its 35,893 vehicle sales in
Moscow in 2006 gives Ford 10% of new foreign vehicle registrations. They
are followed by Hyundai, Nissan, Toyota, Mitsubishi and Renault. There
is a strong showing for locally assembled vehicles: Ford, of course, but
also the Hyundai Accent from the Taganrog factory and the Renault Logan
from the Avtoframos factory in Moscow.
The truck fleet in Moscow and its surrounding region is being renewed
slowly. According to Avtostat, whilst Scania, MAN, Renault,
Mercedes-Benz, Volvo, IVECO and DAF are regularly registered, they are
mainly second-hand imports with an average age of three to seven years. |
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TYPICAL
PURCHASER |
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Does a Russian consumer behave
like his/her European counterpart when buying a car? The typical
purchaser, described by the Association for European Business in 2006,
provides an accurate answer. The average age of a new car buyer is 37
years old in Russia compared to 46.7 in Europe. Retired people represent
only 4% of them compared to 21% in Europe.
84% of buyers are men (69% in Europe) and 74% of them are married or
living in a couple (75% in Europe) and their household consists of 3.3
people compared to 2.8 in Europe. About 56% of drivers are one-car
households (45% in Europe). Its the level of declared revenues that
shows the greatest difference: 20,800 dollars per year in Russia
compared with 46,300 in Europe.
12% are buying their first vehicle (only1% in Europe). Almost 77% of
drivers intend to use their vehicle for travelling to and from work and
48% for business purposes (70% and 33% respectively in Europe). |
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STRATEGIES |
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TAGAZ: 'We require lower prices from local suppliers
than those of the Koreans' |
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Despite difficulties in delivering kits from Hyundai,
the TAGAZ car plant at Taganrog, in the Rostov region manufactured
56,000 vehicles in 2006 and had sales that was almost 433 million
dollars. The factory was built in 1998 to produce three Daewoo models
under its own brand of Doninvest as required by its owner, Mikhaïl
Paramonov. However, Daewoo's well reported problems and the Russian
financial crisis led to production stopping. 'We then started assembling
the Citroën Berlingot commercial vehicle. The idea was good and several
Berlingot are still used today as taxis in Moscow. And demand for
commercial vehicles is growing even faster than demand for cars.
However, at the time, the demand was not sufficient and the model chosen
was not one of the cheapest. Whatever the reasons for us and Citroën
going our separate ways, the market was not yet ready for this type of
vehicle at that time' explains Ivan Karpouzov, TAGAZ communication
manager. The company has assembled Hyundai vehicles since 2001 and
should soon assemble the 150,000th Accent according to a spokesperson.
'We had a few delivery problems especially with engines but the brand
has agreed to deliver more. They have promised to provide us with 80,000
kits next year. Our total capacity means we can assemble up to 120,000
vehicles plus 30,000 Porter commercial vehicles assembled on a separate
line. Only Ford and Avtoframos can claim greater volumes than us for the
future' he confirmed. TAGAZ has planned to locally source components but
for small volumes such as tyres and discs for the Accent. 'We are
working on this with the Nizhnekama tyre factory and Pirelli. We are
also making seats because they are large parts and too expensive to
deliver. We plan to source plastic parts locally. We ask local suppliers
to provide a constant level of quality at prices below those of the
Koreans. However, we prefer internal production as that means we can
manage both quality and production costs' added Ivan Karpouzov. |
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DELPHI:
'We are also relying on future implantations!' |
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The component manufacturer,
Delphi, has created local partnerships including with the SOK group, to
supply parts for specific models promised for the Russian market by
global manufacturers. There is no shortage of projects. The company has
developed OEM contacts with local manufacturers such as Avtovaz, Gaz...
'We have created a cable factory at Samara with the local manufacturer
SOK (see later - Editor). We are also producing connectors
together. SOK is a good and reliable partner. We are also discussing the
possibility of a partnership with a gearbox factory as a joint venture'
said Steven Gaut, Delphi Powertrain Systems Marketing Director. The
component maker has a confident approach to this market. 'The Russian
market is no more difficult than South America or Japan. We practice the
same methods everywhere, developing a special relationship with a local
partner to learn about and understand the context in terms of politics,
economy, human resources, etc.' explains Steven Gaut. Once the
management has been found, Delphi creates autonomous regional entities
with the initial investment coming from the parent company as a
complement to that provided by the partners. The local company then buys
a licence to obtain access to the technologies. 'This system is already
operating with SOK and we are negotiating with other potential partners'
added Steven Gaut. Currently, Delphi only has a limited presence in the
Russian market but this situation should not last long as new
opportunities are developing. 'It is not really very interesting to
establish partnerships for current models' affirmed Steven Gaut. 'We are
aiming more for the models to come because several manufacturers intend
to launch specific models for the Russian market. The regulations are in
the process of changing in Russia. They are now practicing the Euro 2
and Euro 3 standards for gearboxes. In Europe we are working on Euro 5
and preparing Euro 6. If the Russian legislation changes quickly, Delphi
already has the products that are required.
We are also counting on future implantations. PSA is going to build a
factory in Russia and they are our second largest client in Europe. Our
existing contracts for the 206 or the 307 are good opportunities for
adding extra volumes to the orders.' |
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SOK: 'Our 50,000 employees are ready to learn!' |
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'We are anticipating the arrival of foreign
manufacturers. Those who enter the Russian market prefer to work with
their existing suppliers initially or look for local sub-contractors
that can meet their criteria. This is where we are positioned. All our
factories are ISO 9001 certified. And we have a manpower reserve that is
ready to learn with over 50,000 employees' stated Dimitri Roumiantzev,
department head for the SOK group, local car component specialist,
amongst other things..
Dimitri Roumiantzev agrees that the group factories have had a few
problems with maintaining constant levels of quality. SOK is planning
projects with European or Asian partners to improve its production
quality; especially with car component joint ventures. There are ongoing
projects with the German, Halla, for headlights and Pegaform for
plastics. The Delphi partnership appears to be working well (see
earlier - Editor).
The group originated from Samara and had sales of 2.4 billion dollars in
the automobile sector in 2006. Its development is centred on several
axes including automobile manufacture and component production. The
Izhavto assembly plant has produced Kia models since 2005, the Spectra,
Rio and Sorento four-wheel drive, plus the Izh minibus. Some of the
Spectra components are locally produced. The Vazinter plant continues to
assemble old Avtovaz models. The Roslada assembly plant is stopped and
looking for a partner.
SOK has 15 to 20 factories for components in different regions. It
supplies Avtovaz, GM-Avtovaz and Ford for some factory fitted
components. Group companies are also in the Volkswagen catalogue for its
planned factory.
SOK is also Kia's exclusive distributor with over 100 outlets and also
distributes a dozen other brands.
The group is also developing in the construction sector: building
bridges, tunnels, roads and factories. This sector is enjoying rapid
sales growth and its share has increased to 20%. |
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IRAN
KHODRO: 'We plan to create our own subsidiary in Russia' |
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The Iranian car manufacturer, Iran
Khodro, forecasts that 15% of its production will be exported in 2007
(637,000 vehicles) to 39 countries and this will reach 25% and over a
million vehicles by 2010 according to its chief executive. Algeria,
Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon Syria, Turkey and the Central European countries
of Bosnia, Bulgaria and Croatia are currently the main markets. However,
the company's priorities are the Middle East and CIS markets. Iran
Khodro has been present in Russia for two and a half years and has sold
10,000 cars, mainly the Samand. 'The general growth of the Russian
market is beneficial to us. Our sales have shown rapid growth in 2007
with a forecast of 15,000 vehicle sales. This significant progress is
due to an exclusive partnership with the wholesaler, Autofriend, who has
done excellent work. Currently, the vehicles mainly come from Iran.
After numerous evaluations, we have concluded that the best route is to
load vehicles at Anzani and unload them on the other side of the Caspian
Sea at Astrakhan' stated Alireza Mirzaei, vice-president Export and
International for the Iranian car manufacturer, Iran Khodro. There are
many projects. 'Apart from the Samand, we intend to shortly launch the
renewed version of the Soren with the objective of selling 5,000 during
2008. We are also looking at the possibility of opening our own
subsidiary in Russia. However, this will only become a reality once we
are certain that this will not harm the interests of our partner,
Autofriend' confirmed Alireza Mirsaej. The chief executive admits that
setting up a company in the Russian market can be difficult, especially
with the regulations. 'Amongst the difficulties that we met when trying
to get started in this market, I think the most difficult was obtaining
Russian regulatory conformity certificates. Even if this is an
obligation for every market when we want to get started, this required a
lot of work. In a general sense, exporting was a new experience for us
two years ago and we had to learn everything' he explained.
Alain Bastid |
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BRIDGESTONE cultivates a good citizen image |
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Bridgestone is selling via the
Pole Position regional wholesalers and stores network: 70 sales outlets
with two pilot stores in Moscow and the rest as franchises. The
franchise specification includes at least two fitting workstations, a
storage area and a minimum surface area. 'Our stores sell 5 -10% of
products from other manufacturers including the Nokian and Gislaved
winter ranges (Editor - a Swedish Continental brand). These sales are
justified by clients who are used to these brands for winter tyres'
attests Mikhaïl Lavrenov, director of the Bridgestone Pole Position
Varshavka pilot store. The Pole Position stores only sell Bridgestone
products in the summer range as these ranges are well developed.
The tyre manufacturer does not supply any of the car manufacturers. It
was in negotiation with GAZ a few years ago with a view to equipping the
Gazel but the discussions were unfruitful.
Bridgestone cultivates a good citizen image in Russia. They have
translated a road safety campaign into Russian, the campaign leaflets
are given out to Russian drivers in the Pole Position stores. |
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AMTEL-VREDESTEIN is demonstrating the difference between it and its
Russian equivalents |
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Despite high debts,
the company is trying to continue its development and is targeting the A
segment. |
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Amtel-Vredestein does not do
anything in the same way as other Russian tyre manufacturers. Whilst its
major competitors, such as Sibur - Russkie Shini and Nizhnekamskshina,
have recently started claiming to be receptive to foreign participation
to bring them up to international standards faster in terms of
technology and marketing, Amtel bought the Dutch tyre maker Vredestein
in 2005.
The acquisition of Vredestein by Amtel has meant it could achieve its
strategic objectives very early. Firstly, acquire western know-how and
technology. Secondly, create cross-fertilisation with Dutch specialists
especially when designing and commissioning the Voronej-2 factory.
Finally, own a western brand which was essential for its position on
segment A in the Russian market.
Amtel was the first Russian manufacturer to start developing an
integrated retail network in 2006. Its Av-To network now consists of 94
outlets to which the wholesalers, Pigma and Megashina, should be added.
Whilst the future of the AV-TO network as an integrated structure is now
suspended awaiting the strategic decisions of the new management, the
relevance of the concept is not in question.
Amtel currently claims to be the first Russian manufacturer to launch a
full range of tyres of the A segment. Vassily Ignatiev, The tyre maker's
marketing director, confirms that this range should be launched in
Russia before the end of 2007 with significant publicity and marketing
budgets: 'We could not do it sooner because we did not have a full
range, an essential factor for attacking this segment. The tyres from
Vredestein's European range must be adapted tithe Russian market where
we use different nails and rubber-mixes. We are now ready and we are
launching with significant marketing and publicity budgets coupled with
the advantage of a Dutch trademark. We aim to obtain 6 - 7% market share
by 2011 compared to just 0.7% currently.'
The future is uncertain. Company results were much better in 2006 with
sales of 823 million dollars, a year on year increase of 23%, with
losses reduced from 81 million in 2005 to 7 million dollars. The results
for the first half of 2007 confirm this upward trend with a 30% increase
in sales revenue. However, the level of debt remains very high and
continues to impact the results.
The distribution network is currently undergoing a drastic reduction
with about twenty sales points having been closed and may be sold. An
alternative to this is to seek a foreign partner who could provide
liquidity and know-how.
Alfa Bank has recently taken control and replaced Samir Gupta, the
ex-main shareholder. Petr Zolotarev, who was DG at Russkie Mashini, was
named CEO and replaced Alexei Gourin. The financial director has also
been replaced. Petr Zolotarev, 42 years old, is an economist by
training. Following his education at Moscow,, London and Lausanne, he
has mainly worked for Ioukos where he climbed up the company to become
president of Ioukos RF and group board member. Since 2005, he has
demonstrated the profile of a westernised manager at Basovy Element as
General Manager of this Russkie Mashini holding.
Without prejudging his future decisions, it is to be expected that they
will involve far greater financial thoroughness than in the past.
Already, some services have relocated from the Amtel head office on the
prestigious Avenue Koutouzovsky to the offices of the old Moscow Tyres
factory with its interior decor that is reminiscent of the USSR of the
70s, located in a working class district.
The strategic choices for the rest must be made quickly by Petr
Zolotarev, according to the analysts who monitor the shares: what should
be done with the Moscow factory that is currently almost at a
standstill; what should be done with the AV-TO retail network; is it
useful or necessary to have foreign groups enter the capital of the
group's factories; etc.
Alain Bastid |
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Amtel's dates |
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1990: Creation of Amtel, component supplier
for the defence sector and rubber supplier for Russian tyre makes.
1999: Amtel takes a share in the Kirov tyre factory then buys the
Voronej tyre factory followed by the Kemerovo chemical fibre plant.
2004: Amtel launches the Planet range and NordMaster winter range of
tyres..
2005: Amtel Holdings Holland N.V. Vredestein Banden BV purchased to
create the Amtel-Vredestein NV group, the first Russian company to be
quoted on the London Stock Exchange.
2006: The AV-TO network purchases the wholesalers Pigma (spare parts)
and Megashina (tyres). Amtel buys the Moscow Tyres factory. Sales
increase by 23% to 823 million US$.
2007: Faced by the excessive increase in debt, shareholders name a new
management. Samir Gupta sells his shares on the market and now owns no
more than 11% of the voting rights.
www.amtel-vredestein.ru |
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Vassily Ignatiev's advice for foreign companies that
are interested in Russia: |
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- Come quickly.
- Be ready to change tactics as the environment and circumstances
change.
- Russia must be approached as an emerging market with more risk than
others. It should be considered as part of a portfolio which should be
balanced at the end of the year but where incidents can occur from time
to time. This is its normal way of working. |
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VIANOR:
'Don't try and transfer your existing programmes into this market!
Adapt…' |
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Tyre maker Nokian
has chosen to use franchising to help its auto centre network , conquer
the Russian market. A concept that the tyre maker now plans to use for
other markets. |
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Nokian, the Finnish tyre maker has
just opened its 100th tyre centre under the Vianor name in Russia. In
common with almost all the Vianor outlets in Russia, its a franchised
centre located at Naberezhnie Chelni in Tatarstan. The company has used
Russia to test its new development strategy. The Vianor network counts
45 - 60 outlets with 6 - 7 franchises in each of Finland and Sweden. In
Russia it has two outlets and over a hundred franchises and is present
in 69 towns.
The first Viador centre in Russia opened in Rostov in 2005. 'At the
start we identified about thirty towns in Russia where the population
was greater than Helsinki (half a million) and we wanted to target these
towns as a priority. We quickly realised that we needed to be more
ambitious' reminisced Seppo Kupi, Vianor Holding general manager.
'Russia was the test bed for developing franchises for Nokian. However,
we intend to progressively add to our own outlets possible to have one
in every large town where they will play the role of pilot outlets'
explained Andrei Pantioukhov, Vianor's Russian general manager.
According to Seppo Kupi, 'Vianor does not plan to greatly increase the
number of owned outlets globally. Future development will be via
franchises as in Russia'. Its rapid growth in the Russian market has
provided the manufacturer with an opportunity to abandon its historical
model and to test a new way which will now be applied in other
countries.
Rafaïl Badretdinov, joint owner, with his son and nephew, of the Brinex
network is a new Vianor franchisee. He now has six auto centres in the
Kama region: at Naberezhnie Chelni, Almetievsk and Nizhnekamsk, near the
huge factory of local tyre maker Nizhnekamskshina. It's not easy to
offer the Finnish brand under these conditions. 'At the start we
wondered how we could compete with products from the local factory. The
regional markets are inundated with Nizhnekama tyres which have not
always followed a legal distribution route and are sold at very low
prices. Consumers were not used to paying higher prices or to paying for
services. It is difficult for us to sell a lot of Nokian tyres but we
are trying to keep them at 60% of our sales'; confided Rafaïl
Badretdinov. The network requires that the share of Nokian tyres and
Nordman winter tyres does not fall below 60% of sales.
Storage, the leading service
Dedicated tyre centres in this country with a hard climate have two
periods of seasonal demand when drivers replace summer tyres with winter
tyres and vice-versa. The rest of the year, the level of activity is
much lower hence the need to develop other services. 'We want to develop
complementary services for the inter-season, cleaning, oil changes,
battery replacement, etc. This selection of services is not exhaustive
and can be adjusted depending on the ability of each partner' added
Andrei Pantioukhov.
Another service that is enjoying a lot of success in Russia: storage of
winter tyres between seasons by the auto centre. Drivers do not want to
dirty the inside of their vehicles by carrying their tyres and lack
space to store them in their homes. The service included cleaning the
tyres, wrapping them in plastic film, labelling and storage. It also
means that the centre is certain that the client will return at least
for the next season.
'We have a capacity for about 1,500 units in total and there is no
distinction between our products and those being stored. When our
storage capacity is exceeded, we send our clients' tyres to a dedicated
central depot. The service has been so successful since it was launched
that we are busy looking for new storage sites' comments Raphaïl
Badretdinov.
Andrei Pantioukhov plays a double role in his relations with the
franchises: Vianor manager and also general manager of Nokian Shina, the
Finnish tyre maker's local subsidiary which has a factory near
Vsevolojsk, in the St Petersburg region that produces 4 million tyres
per year. This factory produces 70% of the Nokian and Nordman tyres sold
in Russia.
This is a fairly comfortable situation for controlling the special
conditions offered to the franchises.
The tyre maker offers better prices and payment terms to its franchises
than those offered to distributors. Delivery is free anywhere in Russia
once a minimum volume is exceeded. Finally, franchises have a delivery
priority when products are out of stock.
The company has implemented a travelling Vianor School in June 2007. Its
role is to train franchise directors, sales staff and mechanics. The
training is jointly financed 50/50 by the company and its partners who
decide themselves who they send for training to increase staff
retention. Vianor is also working on an incentive programme project for
the employees of its Russian partners.
However, the tyre maker's local subsidiary does not underestimate the
problems of franchising. 'Sometimes our partners are not ready to
increase the number of sales points. We can help them including
arranging the necessary financial support. If this is not enough, we can
then look at having several partners in the same region. In another
case, their respective zones overlap, e.g. at the edges of two regions.'
commented Andrei Pantioukhov. Use their experience to advise western
operators who want to enter the Russian market: 'Don't try to transfer
your existing programmes onto the Russian market. Be ready to adjust
your programme to the interests of your future partners.' |
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Who is Nokian Tyres? |
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Nokian Tyres has sales of 432.5
million Euros for first half 2007. Nokian sales in Russia and the CIS
increased by +52.1 % during the same period (+23.8 % for all countries).
Russia now accounts for 34% of its total sales.
70% of the products sold in Russia by Nokian come from its Vsevolojsk
factory, near St Petersburg. This factory will be enlarged to eventually
contain six new production lines and increase its capacity from 4 to 10
million tyres per year by 2011. Nokian Russia's investment in 2007 will
be 110 million Euros with 62 million of this being for enlarging the
factory.
www.nokiantyres.com |
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Who is Vianor? |
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The Vianor centres network
developed considerably at the end of the 90s. Its development was marked
by the purchase of Isko Oyj in Finland in 1999. Currently Vianor Holding
is a 100% owned Nokian Tyres subsidiary with 298 centres in 8 countries
of which 130 are franchises and the rest are owned outlets. Vianor is
aiming for 120 centres by the end of 2007 in Russia and up to 300 by the
end of 2009.
Vianor is also involved in commercial vehicles. According to Seppo Kupi,
sector VI accounts for 25% of the network's sales in Scandinavia with a
50/50 mix between new and retread tyres. Vianor has a specialised sector
VI new and retread centre at St Petersburg near the Shushari retread
factory. Some of the Russian centers will also offer sector VI tyres.
vianor.ru | |
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IN BRIEF |
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MARKETS
- The market for private vehicles in Russia could exceed 90 billion
dollars in 2011 compared to 45 billion in 2007 according to a forecast
produced by the local PriceWaterhouseCoopers team. The forecast
considered that disposable income would continue to rise, the share of
vehicles sold with finance would increase from 25% currently to 50% in
2011 and the average price of a vehicle would be nearly 20,000 dollars.
With forecast sales of 4.5 million vehicles in 2011 this would make
Russia the leading market for car sales in Europe. A forecast that does
is not making in optimism.
- Local production of foreign brands should reach one million units by
2010 and provide sufficient volumes to attract international component
makers to set up local production according to the AEB's Automotive
Components Committee.
- Truck sales in Eastern Europe markets should reach 100,000 units in
2010 with half of these being in Russia according to analysts at
Merrill Lynch.
COMPANY LIFE
- The Nissan Motor Rus factory in the St Petersburg region should
produce its first vehicles in May 2009. The site's forecast capacity is
50,000 units per year. Nissan is planning on sales of 110,000
cars in 2007, compared to 75,500 in 2006.
- British company Stadco could double its investment in the
bodywork parts factory in the St Petersburg region. The budget could
increase from 100 to 208 million Euros according to the latest
information. The factory should start producing at the end of 2008 and
have a capacity of 100,000 kits per year to begin with but with
expansion plans through until 2015 already prepared.
- The American Johnson Matthey inaugurated its catalytic
converter factory at Krasnoyarsk this year. The company decided to set
up next to KrasTzvetMetal, its partner for the last ten years. It
will take advantage of the technologies and trained staff that are
already available locally.
- The planned General Motors factory at Shushari could start
producing a new low-cost model, reportedly designed for the Russian
market, from 2009. In the meantime the factory will start assembling the
Chevrolet Captiva in November 2008.
- Avtovaz's market share should grow from 33% in 2006 to 28% in
2007, according to the financial daily Vedomosti. It was still at
38% in 2005. The biggest local car manufacturer is having difficulties
in competing with the western brands. It hopes to keep its market share
above 25% in the future but most analysts are forecasting something
nearer 20%.
- The average age of the equipment in the GAZ factory at Nijni is
25 years. Thanks to the efforts of the new management which includes
several European managers, the level of defects has been reduced tenfold
and more. However, the rate is still two and a half time greater than in
the European motor industry, according to group executives.
- The Avtovaz factory is frequently the victim of theft. Local
police arrested thieves in August 2007 as they were trying to leave with
three trucks filled with spare parts stolen in just one night, a haul
worth almost 460,000 Euros. Catches of this sort are not rare and theft
is considered to part of the routine in this factory.
- The SeverstalAvto group intends to develop its own network with
a dozen distribution and service centres across the country. The first
should open at the end of the year. SeverstalAvto produces
four-wheel drive vehicles under the UAZ Patriot brand and
assembles Ssang Yong four-wheel drive vehicles, Isuzu and
Fiat Ducato vans.
REGULATIONS
- The Euro 3 standards will apply in Russia from January 1st
2008. However, two local manufacturers, Kamaz and Izhavto
(SOK group) have asked that their application be delayed.
Izhavto still assembles old Avtovaz models. These models were
designed in the 70s and require too many changes to make them comply
with the new standards.
- The Russian parliament is evaluating the possibility of
allowing foreign car manufacturers to propose finance deals in sales
outlets using their own financial companies. Currently most
manufacturers have to use a local bank as a partner. Changes to the
legislation could occur before the end of the year. |
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AGENDA |
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- Autoinvest 2008
February 11th to 12th 2008 at St Petersburg
A conference for investors interested in car component production in the
region.
eng.autoinvest-russia.ru/ |
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- Automechanika March
4-6th 2008 in Moscow
The second edition of the International Exhibition Automechanika will be
organized in Moscow by the German Messe Frankfurt. Automechanika May
2007 edition attracted more than 200 exhibitors from some 20 countries.
It focuses on service stations, car equipment, accessories and services.
The 2008 exhibition will also comprise a conference covering Russia’s
automotive industry, OEM suppliers and aftermarket sales issues.
www.automechanika-expo.ru/eng |
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- Tires and Rubber March 4-7 2008 in Moscow
Located on the same exhibition centre as Automechanika, this smaller
local event will gather Russian and international tire manufacturers,
wholesalers, as well as some special equipment manufacturers.
www.maxima-expo.ru |
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- The Russian Automotive
Industry March 11th - 13th 2008 at Moscow
An international conference organised by the Adam Smith Institute.
Interventions are planned from the main players from the local and
international industry. You can meat the cream of the leaders in Russian
automobile industry and their purchasing directors.
www.adamsmithconferences.com |
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To receive the next issues of the France-Russia
Automotive/Auto Franco-Russe, fill
the subscription form : www.autofrancorusse.fr |
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The
France-Russia Automotive/Auto Franco-Russe is published by the
Agence du Fil SARL Company.
RCS Paris 487 788 051. |
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La maquette de l'Auto Franco-Russe
a été réalisée avec le concours de
l'agence Vingt-Quatre Graphisme |
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